The ECB has promised to keep interest rates low for an “extended period of time”. In a broad hint to the profession, President Draghi stressed a reasonable forecast of this period could be extracted from a monetary policy reaction function. This column presents one such forecast based on published macro forecasts and a reaction function that fits the ECB’s past behaviour. The result is that ECB interest rates will rise by May 2014 at the latest.
Tilman Bletzinger, Volker Wieland, 05 September 2013
Related
-
Hans Gersbach, Volker Hahn
Most Read
-
Woloszko
-
Chronopoulos, Kampanelis, Oto-Peralías, Wilson
-
Ugarte, Olarreaga
-
Caffarra, Scott Morton
-
Escobari, Levy Yeyati
-
Eichengreen, O'Rourke
-
Burgess, Sievertsen
-
Mitze, Kosfeld, Rode, Wälde
-
Heldring, Robinson
-
Eichengreen
Blogs&Reviews
-
Sapir
-
Bouchaud, Farmer
-
Baldwin
-
Kende
-
Angeloni
Vox eBooks

Bartsch, Bénassy-Quéré, Corsetti, Debrun, 15 December 2020
Don't Miss
Bartsch, Bénassy-Quéré, Corsetti, Debrun
Scheuer
Bozio, Garbinti, Goupille-Lebret, Guillot, Piketty
Events
-
18 January - 22 March 2021 / online / Political Economy of International Organization
-
21 - 23 January 2021 / Online /
-
28 - 29 January 2021 / Online - Zoom / Timberlake Consultants
-
29 - 29 January 2021 / Online /
-
12 - 12 February 2021 / Online / Erasmus University Rotterdam, Tilburg University and the University of Amsterdam
CEPR Policy Research
-
Gobillon, Solignac
-
Giglio, Maggiori, Stroebel, Weber
-
Summers, Fatás
-
Favero, Galasso
-
Butt, Churm, McMahon, Morotz, Schanz
-
Eichengreen, Avgouleas, Poiares Maduro, Panizza, Portes, Weder di Mauro, Wyplosz, Zettelmeyer
-
Baldwin, Beck, Bénassy-Quéré, Blanchard, Corsetti, De Grauwe, den Haan, Giavazzi, Gros, Kalemli-Ozcan, Micossi, Papaioannou, Pesenti, Pissarides , Tabellini, Weder di Mauro
-
Baldwin, Nakatomi
-
Thimann
-
Goodhart, Perotti