Real interest rates have fallen to historic lows, and some economists are concerned that an era of secular stagnation has begun. This column highlights the role of policy frameworks and financial factors – particularly debt – in linking low real interest rates and sluggish economic growth. Policies that do not lean against booms but ease aggressively and persistently in busts induce a downward bias in interest rates over time and an upward bias in debt levels – something akin to a debt trap. Low real interest rates may thus be self-reinforcing and not always ‘natural’.
Related
-
Richard Levich, Momtchil Pojarliev
Most Read
-
Hötte, Somers, Theodorakopoulos
-
Doepke, Hannusch, Kindermann, Tertilt
-
Harrison
-
Hartmann, Leonello, Manganelli, Papoutsi, Schnabel, Sigaux
-
Attinasi, Gerinovics, Gunnella, Mancini, Metelli
-
Burgess, Sievertsen
-
Eichengreen, O'Rourke
-
Mitze, Kosfeld, Rode, Wälde
-
Heldring, Robinson
-
Allen
Blogs&Reviews
-
Carraro, Cœuré, Dhand, Eichengreen, Mills, Rey, Sapir, Schwarzer
-
Evenett
-
Fullerton, Levinson
-
Hoffmann, Moench, Pavlova, Schultefrankenfeld
-
Reichlin, Adam, McKibbin, McMahon, Reis, Ricco, Weder di Mauro
Events
-
6 - 6 July 2022 / Online & On ESMT Berlin campus, Schlossplatz 1, 10178 Berlin / ESMT Berlin and CEPR
-
11 - 13 July 2022 / / National Council of Applied Economic Researach (NCAER)
-
13 - 13 July 2022 / / CEPR and WIPO
-
8 - 19 August 2022 / Online / Harvard Kennedy School Executive Education
-
22 - 23 August 2022 / Palais Coburg, Vienna, Austria / WU Vienna University of Economics and Business Research Institute for Capital Markets (ISK)
CEPR Policy Research
-
Gobillon, Solignac
-
Giglio, Maggiori, Stroebel, Weber
-
Summers, Fatás
-
Favero, Galasso
-
Butt, Churm, McMahon, Morotz, Schanz
-
Eichengreen, Avgouleas, Poiares Maduro, Panizza, Portes, Weder di Mauro, Wyplosz, Zettelmeyer
-
Baldwin, Beck, Bénassy-Quéré, Blanchard, Corsetti, De Grauwe, den Haan, Giavazzi, Gros, Kalemli-Ozcan, Micossi, Papaioannou, Pesenti, Pissarides , Tabellini, Weder di Mauro
-
Baldwin, Nakatomi
-
Thimann
-
Goodhart, Perotti