Health economics

Maryaline Catillon, David M. Cutler, Thomas E. Getzen, 09 February 2019

Growth in life expectancy during the last two centuries has been attributed to environmental change, productivity growth, improved nutrition, and better hygiene, rather than to advances in medical care. This column traces the development of medical care and the extension of longevity in the US from 1800 forward to provide a long-term look at health and health care in the US. It demonstrates that the contribution of medical care to life-expectancy gains changed over time. 

Frank Lichtenberg, 08 February 2019

Given the relationships between innovation and growth and between growth and longevity, it seems likely that new ideas have played a major role in increased longevity. This column examines the impact of medical innovation on cancer survival rates and mortality in the US. The findings suggest that a significant share of the increase in the five-year observed survival rate between 1994 and 2008 may have been due to an increase in the novelty of medical ideas several years earlier. Turning to the impact of new cancer drugs specifically, it finds that drugs launched in 36 countries during 2006-2010 reduced the number of disability-adjusted life years lost to cancer in 2015 in those countries by about 8.7%.

Carolina Lopez, Anja Sautmann, Simone Schaner, 29 January 2019

Healthcare systems around the world battle high rates of overtreatment. This column investigates the role of patient demand in this, using a randomised evaluation of malaria treatment at public health clinics in Mali. It finds no evidence of doctors attempting to increase treatment rates or intensity, instead heightened demand from patients sometimes pressured doctors into going against their own professional judgement and writing a prescription anyway. In such situations, interventions that make it easier for doctors to resist patient demands could help sustain subsidies and reduce overtreatment.

Kristín Helga Birgisdóttir, Arna Hauksdóttir, Christopher J. Ruhm, Tinna Laufey Ásgeirsdóttir, 27 January 2019

Studies on the relationship between business cycles and health have come up with conflicting results. This column uses the case of Iceland’s economic collapse in 2008 to argue that the context and nature of macroeconomic fluctuations are key. Looking at the Icelandic business cycle in general suggests that hard economic times appear to be good for heart health, but the collapse, which was particularly dramatic and sudden, increased the incidence of ischemic heart disease. 

Bastien Chabé-Ferret, Paula Gobbi, 26 January 2019

Between the early 1940s and the late 1960s, the secular decline in fertility that started at the turn of the 19th century in most developed countries was interrupted by a massive baby-boom. This column argues that although much attention has focused on this boom, fertility rates preceding it were abnormally low. The evidence suggests that economic uncertainty can explain a substantial part of the major swings in fertility over the 20th century.

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