Uri Alon, Eran Yashiv, 27 April 2020

Countries are facing stark choices between ending the lockdown to revive people’s lives and risking the ravages of the COVID-19 pandemic. This column proposes an exit strategy from lockdown based on a vulnerability in the coronavirus transmission mechanism, i.e. the latent period in which most infected people do not infect others. An optimal work/lockdown cycle based on this weak spot could minimise infection risks while greatly improving the painful trade-offs faced by policymakers.

Katharina Janke, Kevin Lee, Carol Propper, Kalvinder Shields, Michael A Shields, 13 April 2020

The impact of COVID-19 on the economy will affect not just people’s incomes but also their health. This column examines the effect of this economic downturn on the incidence of long-term chronic ill health in the UK. Such conditions affect one in three people of working age. The findings suggest that the economic downturn could result in around 900,000 more people of working age developing a long-term chronic condition. The impact will be worse in areas that already have higher unemployment. 

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