Matthieu Bussière, Claude Lopez, Cédric Tille, 07 August 2015

Exchange rate appreciations could potentially have a damaging effect on competiveness and domestic production. This column argues that the relationship between exchange rate appreciations and growth depends on the underlying shock. Appreciations due to the surge of capital inflows could be relatively less favourable for growth. Concern about appreciations is therefore well-founded when they are due to shocks in global financial markets.

Robert Koopman, Zhi Wang, Shang-Jin Wei, 08 August 2008

Many policy assessments, such as the effect of a currency revaluation on trade balances, are sensitive to the share of domestic content in a country’s exports. The current method might be problematic for countries with a high share of processing exports, such as China, Mexico and Vietnam. This column introduces a new method for calculating domestic content shares and presents some striking estimates for China. The share of domestic content in China’s exports is about 50%, much lower than most other countries: this implies that an exchange rate appreciation is likely to have a smaller effect on China’s trade surplus than for other countries.


CEPR Policy Research