Henrik Müller, Nico Hornig, 10 July 2020

The COVID-19 pandemic has spread massive economic uncertainty. But popular indicators were rather late in showing the size of the impact. To gauge the severity of future shocks in a timelier fashion, this column proposes a new taxonomy of economic uncertainty and an approach to measure it. In this vein it constructs a news-based indicator called Uncertainty Perception Indicator (UPI).

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