Will tomorrow’s US presidential election be closer than expected because Barack Obama is African-American? This column looks at the last decade of US electoral contests with black candidates and says that there is a Bradley effect, in which African-American candidates garner lower vote shares than predicted by opinion polls. If that holds true, it will be close tomorrow.
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15 - 15 November 2019 / Brussels, Belgium / SUERF - The European Money and Finance Forum BFF - The Belgian Financial Forum
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