Refet Gürkaynak, Rochelle Edge, 28 February 2011

Studies have shown that the forecasts from dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models perform better than central banks' judgemental forecasts as well as forecasts based on statistical analysis but without a theoretical foundation. This column shows that performing better is hardly good performance given how badly all three forecasts compare with reality.

Axel Leijonhufvud, 21 November 2009

In CEPR Policy Insight No.41, Axel Leijonhufvud argues that theories that assume that the economy is a stable general equilibrium system, albeit beset with some frictions and imperfections, do not hold true in general and that we need a new paradigm of economic thought.

Willem Buiter, 06 March 2009

Standard macroeconomic theory did not help foresee the crisis, nor has it helped understand it or craft solutions. This columns argues that both the New Classical and New Keynesian complete markets macroeconomic theories not only did not allow the key questions about insolvency and illiquidity to be answered. They did not allow such questions to be asked. A new paradigm is needed.


CEPR Policy Research