Does low volatility in financial markets mean that another financial crisis is more likely? And should we be worried when everything is OK? This column presents the first empirical results that find a strong validation of Minsky's hypothesis – obtained from 200 years of historical cross-sectional data – that low volatility increases the likelihood of a future financial crisis by increasing risk-taking.
Jon Danielsson, Marcela Valenzuela, Ilknur Zer, 02 October 2015
Related
Most Read
-
Hötte, Somers, Theodorakopoulos
-
Doepke, Hannusch, Kindermann, Tertilt
-
Fornaro, Romei
-
Harrison
-
Duffie, Foucault, Veldkamp, Vives
-
Burgess, Sievertsen
-
Eichengreen, O'Rourke
-
Mitze, Kosfeld, Rode, Wälde
-
Heldring, Robinson
-
Allen
Blogs&Reviews
-
Carraro, Cœuré, Dhand, Eichengreen, Mills, Rey, Sapir, Schwarzer
-
Evenett
-
Fullerton, Levinson
-
Hoffmann, Moench, Pavlova, Schultefrankenfeld
-
Reichlin, Adam, McKibbin, McMahon, Reis, Ricco, Weder di Mauro
Events
-
5 - 15 July 2022 / Warwick/Coventry / University of Warwick
-
6 - 6 July 2022 / Online & On ESMT Berlin campus, Schlossplatz 1, 10178 Berlin / ESMT Berlin and CEPR
-
11 - 13 July 2022 / / National Council of Applied Economic Researach (NCAER)
-
22 - 23 August 2022 / Palais Coburg, Vienna, Austria / WU Vienna University of Economics and Business Research Institute for Capital Markets (ISK)
-
23 - 25 August 2022 / Online /
CEPR Policy Research
-
Gobillon, Solignac
-
Giglio, Maggiori, Stroebel, Weber
-
Summers, Fatás
-
Favero, Galasso
-
Butt, Churm, McMahon, Morotz, Schanz
-
Eichengreen, Avgouleas, Poiares Maduro, Panizza, Portes, Weder di Mauro, Wyplosz, Zettelmeyer
-
Baldwin, Beck, Bénassy-Quéré, Blanchard, Corsetti, De Grauwe, den Haan, Giavazzi, Gros, Kalemli-Ozcan, Micossi, Papaioannou, Pesenti, Pissarides , Tabellini, Weder di Mauro
-
Baldwin, Nakatomi
-
Thimann
-
Goodhart, Perotti