Stefan Trautmann, Gijs van de Kuilen, 24 April 2016

Expectations about uncertain events play an important role in both science and policy, so it is important to be able to elicit people’s expectations in surveys. This column discusses the use of more complex approaches to revelation of expectations than the widely used ‘just ask’ approach. Though complex methods have clear benefits, the costs are not negligible and should be taken into account.


CEPR Policy Research