Video Vox

Kenneth Lee 04 November 2020

On March 24, 2020, India's Prime Minister announced the world's largest COVID-19 lockdown, bringing to a near-halt the economic and social lives of more than one billion Indian residents. Ken Lee talks to Tim Phillips about his work on the economic impacts and behavioural changes induced by this unprecedented policy using two unique data sources: Facebook mobility data and a representative sample of previously surveyed low income Delhi households.

Read the underlying CEPR Covid Economics paper: Job loss and behavioral change: The unprecedented effects of the India lockdown in Delhi  by Kenneth Lee, Harshil Sahai, Patrick Baylis and Michael Greenstone

Diane Coyle 03 November 2020

The unprecedented crisis caused by the coronavirus pandemic has prompted a spontaneous collective effort by the economics profession to contribute both to the immediate policy response to the shock, and also to the debate about the character of the subsequent recovery.

Read Diane's paper in Covid Economics Issue 48

William Cook 21 October 2020

Though it is recognized that pupils whose schooling is being disrupted by Covid-19 are suffering immediate learning loss, there exists a lack of understanding as to how this disruption might affect longer-term educational outcomes. Will Cook (Manchester Metropolitan University) examines the effect of school disruption in England due to restrictions put in place to manage the Foot and Mouth Disease epidemic in cattle in 2001 and analyzes whether primary schools that had been significantly disrupted by the epidemic experienced lower performance in standardized tests for pupils aged 11 in the year of the outbreak and in subsequent years.  He explains to Tim Phillips that, although there certainly are falls in achievement immediately after disruption,  this effect fades over subsequent years.

James Reade 14 October 2020

Tim Phillips talks to James Reade (University of Reading) about his research investigating the impact of regular mass outdoor meetings on the spread of a virus by considering football matches in England in February and March 2020 and the spread of Covid-19 into April 2020.  Although the evidence points to an increase of cases and deaths linked with mass outdoor events there are simple adjustments than can be made to lessen their risk.

Read the associated Covd Economics Paper here

Graziella Bertocchi 09 September 2020

Graziella Bertocchi (University of Modena & EIEF) uses a detailed individual-level dataset from Cook County, Illinois, to explore the relationship between COVID-19 mortality and race. Not only are Black Americans disproportionally affected by COVID-19, but they also started to succumb to it earlier than other groups. Such asymmetric effects can be traced back to racial segregation introduced by discriminatory lending practices in the 1930s.

Abigail Adams-Prassl 01 September 2020

Abigail Adams-Prassl (University of Oxford) talks to Tim Phillips about recent research on the UK's furloughed workers, including who exactly has been furloughed, what effect this had on whether they actually continued to work or not and what the likely prospects are for their employment going forward.

Estelle Cantillon 26 August 2020

As governments start to consider the recovery from Covid-19, Estelle Cantillon, Université libre de Bruxelles, explains how  achieving green goals can go hand in hand with rebuilding economies. Some sectors heavily affected by the pandemic, such as transport, tourism and energy, were already heading towards or overdue for structural change anyway, so this is an opportunity to accelerate that move forward. Encouraging this green recovery is not only about budget and spending it is also about revenue, and measures such as putting  a firm price on carbon and making government help conditional can be used as leverage in sectors that have previously been reluctant to become greener.

Thorsten Beck 11 August 2020

Survey responses from early April across nearly 500 listed firms in ten emerging markets reveal that the vast majority of firms have been negatively affected by COVID-19 and reacted by reducing investment rather than payrolls. Thorsten Beck (Cass Business School) talks to Tim Phillips about “COVID-19 in emerging markets: firm-survey evidence”, from Covid Economics, Vetted and Real-Time Papers 38, July .

Linda Thunström 05 August 2020

The scientific community has come together in an unprecedented effort to find a COVID-19 vaccine. However, the success of any vaccine depends on the share of the population that gets vaccinated, and in a middle-of-the-road scenario with central estimates of model parameters, a vaccine will benefit public health by saving many lives but nevertheless may fail to achieve herd immunity. Linda Thunström (University of Wyoming) talks to Tim Phillips about a recent Covid Economics paper reporting on a survey of American attitudes towards vaccination. The results of the survey suggest that 20% of the American population may refuse a COVID-19 vaccine.

Linda Thunström's Paper can be found in Issue 35 of CEPR's Covid Economics Papers

Fabiano Schivardi 29 July 2020

The COVID-19 crisis has induced a sharp drop in cash flow for many firms, possibly pushing solvent but illiquid firms into bankruptcy. Fabiano Schivardi tells Tim Phillips about a simple method that governments could use to determine the number of firms that could become illiquid, and when. When the method is applied to the population of Italian businesses he finds that at the peak, around 200,000 companies (employing 3.3 million workers) could become illiquid due to a total liquidity shortfall of €72 billion euros. It is essential that policymakers shelter businesses by acting quickly, especially if there is a ‘second peak’ after the summer.

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